| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Conference Paper (Conference Proceedings) | |||
| Site | mtc-m16b.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Repository | cptec.inpe.br/adm_conf/2005/10.06.20.31 | |||
| Last Update | 2006:04.19.20.40.00 (UTC) administrator | |||
| Metadata Repository | cptec.inpe.br/adm_conf/2005/10.06.20.31.55 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2022:03.26.18.01.16 (UTC) administrator | |||
| Secondary Key | INPE-15197-PRE/10073 | |||
| Citation Key | CavalcantiOCBFCCOGM:2006:NeDeSe | |||
| Title | New developments in seasonal prediction at CPTEC/INPE Brazil  | |||
| Format | CD-ROM; On-line. | |||
| Project | Clima | |||
| Year | 2006 | |||
| Access Date | 2024, May 20 | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE CI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 224 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Cavalcanti, Iracema Fonseca Albuquerque 2 Orsini, Jose Antonio Marengo 3 Camargo Junior, Helio 4 Barbosa, Henrique de Melo Jorge 5 Figueroa, Silvio Nilo 6 Chagas, Julio C. S. 7 Cardoso, Andrea de Oliveira 8 Oliveira, Gilvan Sampaio de 9 Gutierrez, Enver Manuel Amador Ramirez 10 Muniz, Lincoln | |||
| Resume Identifier | 1 2 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHG3 3 4 5 6 7 8 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHBE | |||
| Group | 1 DMD-INPE-MCT-BR 2 DMD-INPE-MCT-BR 3 DOP-INPE-MCT-BR 4 DMD-INPE-MCT-BR 5 6 7 DMD-INPE-MCT-BR 8 DMA-INPE-MCT-BR 9 DOP-INPE-MCT-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 5 6 7 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 8 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 9 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) | |||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 iracema @cptec.inpe.br | |||
| Editor | Vera, Carolina Nobre, Carlos | |||
| e-Mail Address | iracema@cptec.inpe.br | |||
| Conference Name | International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography, 8 (ICSHMO). | |||
| Conference Location | Foz do Iguaçu | |||
| Date | 24-28 Apr. 2006 | |||
| Publisher | American Meteorological Society (AMS) | |||
| Publisher City | 45 Beacon Hill Road, Boston, MA, USA | |||
| Pages | 539-542 | |||
| Book Title | Proceedings | |||
| Organization | American Meteorological Society (AMS) | |||
| History (UTC) | 2005-10-06 20:31:55 :: iracema@cptec.inpe.br -> administrator :: 2005-11-11 02:55:29 :: administrator -> adm_conf :: 2005-12-16 01:14:54 :: adm_conf -> iracema@cptec.inpe.br :: 2006-03-29 20:32:33 :: iracema@cptec.inpe.br -> adm_conf :: 2006-03-29 20:43:09 :: adm_conf -> administrator :: 2006-04-18 20:51:08 :: administrator -> lise@dpi.inpe.br :: 2010-12-28 12:36:13 :: lise@dpi.inpe.br -> administrator :: 2010-12-29 15:54:33 :: administrator -> lise@dpi.inpe.br :: 2006 2010-12-29 16:05:32 :: lise@dpi.inpe.br -> banon :: 2006 2010-12-29 16:37:31 :: banon -> administrator :: 2006 2010-12-29 18:50:26 :: administrator -> banon :: 2006 2011-01-02 17:14:31 :: banon -> administrator :: 2006 2022-03-26 18:01:16 :: administrator -> :: 2006 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Keywords | seasonal prediction ensemble clusters intraseasonal variability | |||
| Abstract | The new implementations at CPTEC referring to Long-Range Forecasts are presented and discussed. A cluster analysis has been applied to the ensemble members to identify different groups that show different behaviour with respect to anomaly precipitation. In this technique we do clustering of members with similar behaviour, resulting in several different clusters. Thus, in regions with large dispersion, the cluster analysis can be an useful tool to replace the ensemble average. Another technique that is being applied to the daily results from the model prediction is the prediction of Madden-Julian Oscillation. It is already known that intraseasonal oscillations have influence on South America convection, and it is important to analyse this kind of variability in the model results to increase the predictability in some regions that are strongly affected. The seasonal prediction has also been performed, in an experimental way, using the AGCM with the Grell ensemble convection scheme, replacing the Kuo scheme. A new AGCM that has been developed at CPTEC, based on CPTEC/COLA AGCM, but with a different structure of integration, has been tested for climate simulations using resolution of T126L42. The efficiency of this model is much higher than the operational one, and allow the higher resolution runs. The introduction of an updated vegetation set and an estimated soil humidity field from an hydrological model is also discussed. | |||
| Area | MET | |||
| Type | Climate predictions | |||
| Arrangement 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDMD > New developments in... | |||
| Arrangement 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDOP > New developments in... | |||
| Arrangement 3 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção até 2016 > DMA > New developments in... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content |
| |||
| agreement Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| data URL | http://urlib.net/ibi/cptec.inpe.br/adm_conf/2005/10.06.20.31 | |||
| zipped data URL | http://urlib.net/zip/cptec.inpe.br/adm_conf/2005/10.06.20.31 | |||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | 539-542.pdf | |||
| User Group | administrator iracema@cptec.inpe.br administrator banon | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Copy Holder | SID/SCD | |||
| Read Permission | allow from all | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SQKNE 8JMKD3MGPCW/46JKC45 | |||
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.49.24 3 sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2022/03.26.17.47 2 sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2021/01.02.22.14 1 | |||
| Host Collection | cptec.inpe.br/nobre/2005/06.02.21.14 cptec.inpe.br/walmeida/2003/04.25.17.12 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Mark | 1 | |||
| Empty Fields | archivingpolicy archivist callnumber contenttype copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination documentstage doi edition identifier isbn issn label lineage mirrorrepository nextedition notes numberofvolumes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress readergroup rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark serieseditor session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url versiontype volume | |||